Autonomous driving (AD) has long been seen as the savior of shared mobility, finally making ride hailing and ride pooling services profitable by eliminating the cost of paying the driver. Pilot projects are underway across the globe, however the key question remains: when will AD technology, regulation and public acceptance align and reach the point where driverless vehicles start to transform the personal mobility landscape?
To answer this question and quantify the scale of the opportunity for AD to push forward the use of shared mobility services in Europe, we built the Berylls Mobility Model to assess the impact of key drivers including technology, political will and regulatory readiness on driverless urban mobility in 544 European cities across 35 countries.
The results of our extensive modeling show a decisive shift toward self-driving ride hailing and ride pooling services over the next decade. Our key findings include:
Dr. Matthias Kempf (1974) was one of the founding partners of Berylls Strategy Advisors in August 2011. He began his career with Mercer Management Consulting in Munich, Germany, in 2000. After earning his doctorate degree and further consulting work at Oliver Wyman (formerly Mercer Management Consulting), he joined the management of Hilti Germany in 2008. At Berylls, his area of expertise is new mobility services and traffic concepts. In addition, he is an expert in developing and implementing new digital business models, and in the digitalization of sales and after sales.
Industrial engineering and management studies at the University of Karlsruhe, Germany, doctorate degree at Ludwig Maximilian University, Munich, Germany.